Vance’s South Caucasus Visit: TRIPP and the US Push for Connectivity

Mar 16 2026

By Erlan Benedis-Grab | 16 March 2026

Summary

  • Between 9 and 11 February 2026, U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance visited Armenia and Azerbaijan to reinforce bilateral cooperation and keep the Trump Route for International Peace and Prosperity (TRIPP) high on the Trump administration’s South Caucasus agenda.

  • Vance’s visit highlights growing U.S. influence in the South Caucasus, reflecting both the relative success of U.S. mediation between Armenia and Azerbaijan and Washington’s willingness to deepen engagement in a region long viewed as within Russia’s sphere of influence. Georgia’s exclusion from the trip also points to shifting U.S. regional priorities.

  • TRIPP is likely to keep advancing, while U.S.-Armenia nuclear cooperation and broader regional connectivity efforts increase pressure on Russia and could gradually reshape South Caucasus trade and energy flows.


Context

U.S. Vice President J.D. Vance made a historic visit to Armenia and Azerbaijan in February 2026, meeting with both presidents to announce new bilateral agreements and to further promote TRIPP. It is the first time since Joe Biden’s visit to Georgia in 2009 that a high-level U.S. official has visited the Caucasus.

A centrepiece of the August 2025 US-brokered framework between Armenia and Azerbaijan, TRIPP is a proposed transit corridor across southern Armenia intended to connect Azerbaijan to its Nakhchivan exclave and onward to Türkiye.

In Yerevan, Vance and Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan agreed to a USD 11m US defence sale, including V-BAT reconnaissance drones, signed a statement concluding negotiations on a US–Armenia “1-2-3” civil nuclear cooperation agreement, and highlighted expanded AI cooperation by approving the export of tens of thousands of advanced NVIDIA GPUs.

In Baku, Vance met with President Aliyev and signed a U.S.–Azerbaijan Strategic Partnership Charter highlighting  AI, energy and defence cooperation. Additionally, the US pledged further patrol ships to assist Azerbaijan in protecting its waters.

During both stops, TRIPP was featured prominently: Armenia and the US reaffirmed implementation, while the US–Azeri Strategic Partnership Charter also emphasised TRIPP’s economic potential.


Implications

Vance’s South Caucasus tour was intended to keep TRIPP from stalling. TRIPP serves the broader strategy of the US-backed connectivity agenda linking Central Asia to Europe(especially along the energy lines), with Washington positioning itself as the key broker and convener. 

The US is making bold moves in the South Caucasus. Russia once positioned itself as the region’s primary security guarantor, but its credibility eroded after its peacekeepers failed to meaningfully deter Azerbaijan’s 2023 offensive against Armenia, which subsequently suspended its participation in the Collective Security Treaty Organisation (CSTO). By building joint and bilateral relations between the two nations, the US is positioning itself strongly in a strategically sensitive region, where both states sit adjacent to Russia and Iran.

Washington has also positioned itself as a leading contender to replace Armenia’s ageing Soviet-era nuclear plant with small modular reactors, and the signed 1-2-3  agreement helps clear a legal hurdle that could tilt the eventual procurement decision toward U.S. suppliers. On top of that, Vance said the nuclear track could unlock up to USD 9bin potential investment for the project. Rosatom remains one of the few Russian state-linked exports that is globally competitive. Losing an Armenian bid would undercut Russian prestige in an area it previously thought itself uncontested. In response, Russia has dismissed U.S. reactor designs as “untested,” while the Secretary of Russia’s State Council and former defence minister Sergei Shoigu raised safety concerns about Washington’s plans.

Notably, Vance did not stop in Georgia. Once Washington’s closest partner in the region, Georgia is now effectively watching from the sidelines as US engagement shifts to Yerevan and Baku. Georgia’s recent democratic backsliding and the ruling Georgian Dream party’s sustained hostility toward Washington help explain why the US chose to pass it by. The result is a diminished Georgian role, with more attention on Armenia and Azerbaijan. 

Forecast

  • Short-term (Now – 3 months)

    • TRIPP is likely to keep advancing through working groups and feasibility milestones, while it is possible that major construction will wait on customs/security rules.

    • It is likely that there will be a modest increase in energy exports from Azerbaijan to Armenia as early confidence-building economic measures continue.

    • Russian pushback and friction will rise in parallel: Russia (and possibly Iran) will almost certainly increase political and information pressure on Armenia. Moscow will highlight USSR-era nuclear cooperation between Russia and Armenia, and is highly likely to offer Armenia attractive financing terms.

  • Medium-term (3 – 12 months)

    • There is a realistic possibility that the 1-2-3 track could translate into a US-backed procurement process for Armenia’s nuclear plant, intensifying Russian pressure and shaping the broader trajectory of the US–Armenia alignment.

    • It is highly likely that Russia will intensify political friction around Armenia’s 2026 elections, expanding influence operations to blunt Yerevan’s pro-West pivot.

  • Long-term (>1 year)

    • There is a realistic possibility that if TRIPP is implemented, it could rewire regional trade and energy flows. It would embed Armenia and Azerbaijan in a shared infrastructure ecosystem and strengthen connectivity in the Central Asia–South Caucasus–Europe direction.

Remembering Soghomon Tehlirian and the Quest for Armenian Justice

Colorado Boulevard, Glendale, CA
Mar 16 2026

Every March 15, Armenian communities across the United States, Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East gather for ceremonies, lectures, monument unveilings, and memorial services honoring one man and one mission: Soghomon Tehlirian and Operation Nemesis.

By William Paparian

On that day in 1921, 25-year-old Armenian survivor Tehlirian walked up behind Talaat Pasha, the chief architect of the 1915 Armenian Genocide, in broad daylight on a Berlin street and shot him in the head. The act was not random vengeance. It was the most visible strike in a secret Armenian Revolutionary Federation (ARF) campaign called Operation Nemesis, launched because the world had failed to deliver justice. For the Armenian diaspora, March 15 is “Avenger’s Day,” an annual remembrance established by the ARF in 1974. It is more than nostalgia; it is a living affirmation of identity, moral resolve, and the refusal to let genocide go unpunished.

The Shadow of Genocide

The date carries profound weight because of its history. Between 1915 and 1923, the Ottoman Young Turk government orchestrated the systematic deportation, massacre, and death marches of roughly 1.5 million Armenians. After World War I, promises of tribunals faded. Key perpetrators, Talaat Pasha, Enver Pasha, Cemal Pasha, escaped into exile, living freely while survivors rebuilt shattered lives in foreign lands. International justice had failed.

In response, the ARF’s 1919 congress in Yerevan authorized Operation Nemesis: a secret mission to deliver accountability where none existed. Named for the goddess of retribution, it targeted those most responsible. Between 1920 and 1922, the group carried out at least seven successful assassinations across Europe and the Middle East.

Tehlirian: Survivor and Avenger

Tehlirian became the face of that campaign. A genocide survivor who had lost his mother, sisters, and most of his family on the death marches, he was chosen to target Talaat, whom Shahan Natalie called “Number One.” After months of surveillance in Berlin, Tehlirian pulled the trigger on March 15, 1921. He did not flee; he waited to be arrested.

At his two-day trial in June, the courtroom became an unofficial tribunal on the Genocide. Survivor testimony, expert witnesses, and Tehlirian’s calm statement, “I have killed a man, but I am not a murderer,” filled the German press. The jury acquitted him in less than an hour. The verdict sent shock waves: a European court had implicitly recognized the Armenian Genocide as a mitigating circumstance for an act that would otherwise have been simple murder.

Diaspora Memory and Identity

For the diaspora, this sequence, genocide, impunity, targeted justice, public vindication, condenses the 20th-century Armenian experience into one dramatic episode. Most diaspora families trace their presence in California, France, Argentina, or Lebanon directly to genocide survivors who arrived as refugees. Annual April 24 commemorations remember the victims; March 15 remembers the response. It affirms that Armenians were not passive martyrs but agents who reclaimed agency when governments abandoned them. The act restored dignity and pride.

This truth resonates in my own family. My mother, Serpouhi, survived the horrors, and I grew up hearing fragments of the Dickranian family story—not as dramatic tales, but as quiet, enduring truths. Eventually, they found safety in America and rebuilt a life of quiet strength. Those stories shaped me—not with anger, but with a deep responsibility to remember and honor those who ensured our survival.

In Fresno, California, at the Masis Ararat Armenian Cemetery, a monument honors Tehlirian: an obelisk topped with a gold-plated eagle slaying a snake, symbolizing Armenian justice striking down Talaat Pasha, the “snake” as the chief architect of the Genocide. Erected in 1969, it remains a powerful pilgrimage site, drawing visitors who lay flowers and reflect on the enduring legacy of retribution and resilience.

Lessons for Today

The remembrance also looks forward. Turkey’s continued denial of the Genocide, coupled with recent threats against the Republic of Armenia, keeps the memory urgent. March 15 is not merely historical; it is a reminder that justice sometimes requires extraordinary measures when lawful avenues are closed. It inspires advocacy for recognition, reparations, and security, while also encouraging reflection: many Armenians today distinguish between the justified retribution of 1921 and modern violence, using the anniversary to explore non-violent strategies for the 21st century.

Ultimately, the Armenian diaspora remembers Soghomon Tehlirian and Operation Nemesis every March 15 because the date captures the central narrative of our collective identity: a people who survived attempted extermination, refused to accept impunity, and acted when the world would not. Tehlirian’s bullet in Berlin did not erase the Genocide, but it ensured its chief architect did not enjoy a quiet exile—and that Armenians would never forget they once delivered justice with their own hands. For millions in the diaspora—including me, carrying forward my mother Serpouhi’s legacy, March 15 is the day we reaffirm that memory, that pride, and our unbreakable commitment to “never again.”

Sports: Armenia’s Suren Aghajanyan wins U23 European wrestling title

Panorama, Armenia
Mar 16 2026

Armenian wrestler Suren Aghajanyan has been crowned champion at the U23 European Wrestling Championships after a dominant performance in the 60kg Greco-Roman final.

Aghajanyan secured the gold medal with an emphatic victory over Georgia’s Giorgi Kochalidze on Sunday, defeating his opponent in just two minutes to claim the title and add another gold medal to Armenia’s tally at the tournament.

Elsewhere in the competition, Armenia’s Khachatryan (72kg) won his repechage bout and will compete later for the bronze medal.

Meanwhile, Yurik Hoveyan (67kg) was defeated in his repechage match, bringing his campaign at the championships to an end.

Ex-president Ter-Petrosyan accuses government of cutting his power and water f

OC Media
Mar 16 2026

Editor’s note: The article has been updated to include the ENA’s clarification of the causes of the power outage.

The office of Armenia’s first President Levon Ter-Petrosyan has accused the authorities of deliberately cutting electricity and water to his residence for over 24 hours. The power outage followed multiple statements by Ter-Petrosyan calling for the establishment of an opposition coalition with Russian–Armenian tycoon Samvel Karapetyan.

Ter-Petrosyan’s office reported on Monday that electricity and water to his residence and office have been cut off since Sunday afternoon.

Following the outage, ‘dozens of calls’ from his security to the Electric Networks of Armenia (ENA), the country’s main power grid operator, were met with promises that power would be restored ‘in an hour.’

‘Dozens of hours have passed, yet nothing has changed to this day. Meanwhile, almost all the houses and buildings around the residence are flooded with light’, his office claimed.

It further accused the Armenian authorities of ordering the power cut, suggesting that the ENA ‘would not have dared’ to commit such an act ‘without instructions’.

The ENA is owned by Karapetyan’s Tashir Group, but is undergoing a nationalisation process and is currently headed by a state-appointed representative.

‘This is not an ordinary accident, but a manifestation of ongoing sadism directed at the first president and his family’, the statement concluded.

Explainer | Who is Samvel Karapetyan, the Russian–Armenian billionaire whose empire is under siege

The ENA provided a lengthy and detailed explanation on Monday afternoon, stating that the outage was caused by major damage to a nearby transformer substation.

According to the company, the construction firm carrying out demolition work without coordination with the ENA damaged the substation’s walls and roof, allowing rainwater to enter and disable electrical equipment. The incident caused a significant local power outage affecting six addresses, including the home and office of Ter-Petrosyan.

Presenting the timeframe of the repair works carried out shortly after the incident, the company stated that efforts are ongoing and that ‘in a few hours, the electricity supply to all six mentioned directions will be restored’. The company further apologised for the inconvenience caused.

Ter-Petrosyan and Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan are former allies; together they led a series of protests following the 2008 presidential election. In 2012, Pashinyan was elected as an MP representing Ter-Petrosyan’s Armenian National Congress Alliance.

Ties between the two sharply deteriorated since 2025, with both sides exchanging harsh criticism and accusations.

Ter-Petrosyan has also voiced support for the Armenian Apostolic Church amid a confrontation with Pashinyan ongoing since May 2025.

Explainer | How Pashinyan is working to topple Catholicos Karekin II

The power outage report came after Ter-Petrosyan made multiple statements expressing sympathy for Karapetyan and calling for urgent coalition-building with him.

In a Facebook post in February, Ter-Petrosyan said that negotiations among opposition parties ‘have not led to any agreement’ following months of talks. He added that in the current situation ‘the only force capable of uniting the fragmented opposition is Samvel Karapetyan’.

Over a week later, Ter-Petrosyan accused Pashinyan of having ‘Western masters’ who would view Karapetyan’s victory ‘as a restoration of Russian influence in Armenia, which in no way fits into their long-term plans’.

‘Therefore, they will try to do everything possible to prevent such a development, ignoring the fact that the exclusive right to choose their own government belongs to the people’, he said.

An opposition coalition ahead of the elections?

On Saturday, Ter-Petrosyan’s Armenian National Congress party held a congress attended by other opposition forces, including Karapetyan’s Strong Armenia party and Country to Live party, affiliated with the Nagorno-Karabakh’s former State Minister Ruben Vardanyan.

Vardanyan is currently serving a 20-year sentence on war crimes charges in Azerbaijan. He has maintained his innocence.

On the same day, Armenian National Congress representative Levon Zurabyan assessed the speeches of the opposition representatives in their party congress, saying that consolidation among the opposition ‘is quite realistic’.

In turn, Strong Armenia’s representative Alexan Alexanyan told reporters that talks among the opposition ‘are ongoing’ and promised to provide additional statements if any cooperation was established.

Karapetyan, who faces multiple charges in Armenia following his support for the Church amid its confrontation with Pashinyan’s government, has been named the prime ministerial candidate of his newly formed Strong Armenia party.

The announcement sparked controversy, as he is ineligible for the role under current legislation due to holding multiple passports.

Russian-Armenian tycoon Karapetyan declared candidate for prime minister despite ineligibility

Other main candidates declaring their participation in the elections include former President Robert Kocharyan’s Armenia Alliance, the largest opposition faction in the current Armenian Parliament, as well as tycoon Gagik Tsarukyan, leader of the Prosperous Armenia party, who has vowed to build a political ‘Noah’s Ark’.

The former ruling Republican Party and its leader, former president Serzh Sargsyan, ousted during the 2018 Velvet Revolution, have yet to declare whether they will participate in the elections.

Civil Contract, which vowed to secure a constitutional majority in the elections, also warned that the opposition intends to come to power through a coalition formed after the vote.

On Friday, the Anti-Corruption Court prolonged Karapetyan’s house arrest for another month. Following the court ruling, his party announced on Saturday morning that the ruling ‘proves how much Nikol Pashinyan fears Samvel Karapetyan’.

They also announced the launch of a ‘coordinated campaign’ including ‘local and international steps’.

Armenians at the Oscars 2026: Sev Ohanian, Natalie Musteata, Madeline Sharafia

News.am, Armenia
Mar 16 2026

Another Academy Awards ceremony took place in Los Angeles, this year for the 98th time. And while Armenians were still proudly remembering the emotions brought by Vache Tovmasyan and Karren Karagoulian at last year’s ceremony, when Anora, featuring their participation, won five awards (including Best Picture), this year as well there was no shortage of Armenians at the most important event in the film industry.

From record-breaking nominations to coveted awards… Who brought an Armenian touch to the Oscars this time?

Sev Ohanian’s Sinners record: 16 nominations and 4 statuettes

Armenian-American producer Sev Ohanian has been dominating major awards ceremonies since the beginning of the year with the film Sinners. At the 2026 Oscars, Sinners set a record by receiving 16 nominations and winning four awards.

The film won in the following categories:

  • Best Actor (Michael B. Jordan)
  • Best Original Screenplay
  • Best Original Score
  • Best Cinematography

Earlier, Sinners had received seven Golden Globe nominations, winning two awards: Best Original Score and Cinematic and Box Office Achievement. At the Critics’ Choice Awards, Sinners was the leading film with an impressive 17 nominations, confirming its strong reception among critics.

Speaking to NEWS.am STYLE about the film, Ohanian noted that after reading the script he began drawing parallels with the history of the Armenian people.

“My immediate reaction was how much I related to this story as an Armenian. Sinners is about people finding joy, love, and celebration despite hardship. That’s something deeply familiar to our history.”

His first conversation with director Ryan Coogler focused on exactly that idea. 

“We talked about the ending and what it meant to me personally, how I saw my own people in it. That’s Ryan’s gift — he writes something very specific to his own ancestry, yet manages to reveal a shared humanity that everyone can recognize.”

Written and directed by Ryan Coogler, Sinners is a supernatural period drama set in the 1930s. The film tells the story of twin brothers Smoke and Stack (both played by Michael B. Jordan), World War I veterans who return home hoping to build a joyful gathering place for their community.

The film’s producers are Sev Ohanian, Zinzi Coogler, and Ryan Coogler.

Natalie Musteata and 1 Oscar

Romanian screenwriter and director Natalie Musteata, who has Armenian roots, also made her mark at the Oscars.

The short film Two People Exchanging Saliva, directed by Natalie Musteata and Alexandre Singh, won the award for Best Live Action Short Film.

The French-language film has a runtime of 36 minutes. The story takes place in a society where kissing is illegal and punishable by death. People deliberately avoid maintaining oral hygiene and eat garlic to avoid kissing.

However, the film’s protagonists decide to take the risk, fighting for their feelings in a world where intimacy is unacceptable.

Madeline Sharafian — nomination for the film Elio

Director and screenwriter Madeline Sharafian’s film Elio, created in collaboration with Pixar, was nominated in the Best Animated Feature Film category.

Although the film did not win an Oscar, the prestigious awards ceremony is not unfamiliar to the Armenian-American director.

Sharafian received her first Oscar nomination in 2021 for Pixar’s Burrow, which was nominated for Best Animated Short Film.

Notably, the director attended the ceremony wearing a dress designed by Armenian designer Varduhi Torosyan.

Thus, the 2026 Oscars once again demonstrated that creators with Armenian roots are not only participating in global film production but are also shaping its agenda.

Four Oscars, record nominations, and new creative achievements — this year’s ceremony was another reminder that Armenians continue to leave their mark on the history of cinema, presenting their stories, perspectives, and creative boldness to the world.

Syune Arakelyan

https://style.news.am/eng/news/113118/armenians-at-the-oscars-2026-sev-ohanian-natalie-musteata-madeline-sharafian-%E2%80%94-record-nominations-and-victories.html

EAM Jaishankar thanks Armenia for the successful evacuation of 550 Indians fro

mid.day, India
March 16 2026
External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar thanked the Government and people of Armenia for facilitating the safe evacuation of over 550 Indian nationals from Iran, as the conflict entered its third week

The External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar thanked “the people of Armenia” for facilitating the successful evacuation of 550 Indian nationals from Iran.

In a post on X, Jaishankar wrote, “Thank the Government and the people of Armenia for facilitating the safe evacuation of over 550 Indian nationals from Iran so far. Appreciate their support in these challenging times. @AraratMirzoyan.”

Earlier, the Jammu and Kashmir Students Association said that more than 70 Indian students, majority of them from Jammu and Kashmir, who were stranded in Iran amid the ongoing war situation in the region, have returned safely to India via a connecting journey through Armenia and Dubai, following a coordinated evacuation effort.

The Association said that these students had been stranded in Iran due to the ongoing war-like situation and deteriorating security conditions in the region, and are now returning safely to India.

It further said that most of the students travelling in this batch are studying at Urmia University of Medical Sciences, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, and other universities across Iran. Before boarding the flight, the students travelled by buses from different cities in Iran and undertook a long land journey to Armenia, reaching Zvartnots International Airport in Yerevan to board the evacuation flight.

Diplomatic channels between New Delhi, Yerevan, and Tehran coordinated closely to help facilitate the evacuation successfully.

Meanwhile, as the conflict entered its third week the Israeli Air Force (IsAF) has successfully targeted and destroyed the aircraft used by the Iranian leadership at Mehrabad International Airport in Tehran, marking a significant blow to the regime’s strategic mobility.

In a post on X, the air force confirmed the strike, stating that they “destroyed the plane of the leader of the Iranian terror regime at the ‘Mehrabad’ airport in Tehran.”

The aircraft was identified as a critical logistics and diplomatic tool used by the former Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, additional senior officials from the terror regime, and elements in the Iranian military.

The IsAF noted that the plane was vital to “advance military procurement and manage relations with Axis countries through domestic and international flights”. Consequently, the mission was specifically designed to disrupt the operational synergy between Tehran and its regional allies.

According to military officials, “the destruction of the plane impairs the ability to coordinate between the leadership of the Iranian terror regime and Axis countries, in building military power, and in the regime’s rehabilitation capability.”

By eliminating this high-value target, Israel has significantly hindered the regime’s ability to maintain its military and diplomatic networks, asserting that “another strategic asset has been removed from the Iranian regime”.

This high-profile strike was part of a broader, intensive aerial campaign. The IAF on Sunday (local time) said it struck more than 200 targets across western and central Iran over the past day, targeting military infrastructure, including missile systems, defence installations, and operational headquarters. 

This story has been sourced from a third party syndicated feed, agencies. Mid-day accepts no responsibility or liability for its dependability, trustworthiness, reliability and data of the text. Mid-day management/mid-day.com reserves the sole right to alter, delete or remove (without notice) the content in its absolute discretion for any reason whatsoever.

https://www.mid-day.com/news/india-news/article/jaishankar-thanks-armenia-for-evacuating-550-indian-nationals-from-iran-iaf-strikes-khameneis-plane-23621066

Pashinyan Warns of Renewed Conflict If Karabakh Movement Continues and Calls f

Caucasus Watch, Germany
Mar 16 2026
16 Mar 2026 | News, Politics, Armenia, Nagorno-Karabakh

On March 13, Nikol Pashinyan, the Prime Minister of Armenia, stated during a live broadcast on his Facebook page that the Declaration of Independence is “not a declaration of independence, but a declaration of conflict,” reiterating his earlier remarks.

Pashinyan emphasized that the Civil Contract Party is the only political force advocating that the new Constitution should exclude references to the Declaration of Independence. “With this declaration, we are not creating a state to ensure the well-being and freedom of our citizens, but a state for Nagorno-Karabakh and Western Armenia,” he stated, adding that the political landscape is currently divided between what he described as a “party of peace” and a “party of war.”

He stated that continuing the Karabakh movement would inevitably lead to renewed conflict. “No one can escape this choice: if we continue the Karabakh movement, war awaits us; if not, peace,” Pashinyan emphasized, adding, “Peace will grow stronger every day, the Republic of Armenia will grow stronger every day, and I lead this movement. Whoever agrees, let them follow me.”

Pashinyan also stated that references to the so-called separatist Nagorno-Karabakh, including the use of terms such as “Artsakh,” carry serious implications and ultimately lead to conflict regardless of the context in which they are used. He emphasized that Ktrich Nersisyan, the Catholicos of All Armenians Garegin II, has, in his view, assumed leadership of what he described as the “war party,” alongside former leaders Robert Kocharyan, Levon Ter-Petrosyan, and Serzh Sargsyan.

He stressed that Armenian society must make a clear decision on whether to continue the Karabakh movement, stating that this choice should be determined through elections. “The Civil Contract Party is the only political force that clearly states that we must not continue the Karabakh movement,” Pashinyan noted.

https://caucasuswatch.de/en/news/pashinyan-warns-of-renewed-conflict-if-karabakh-movement-continues-and-calls-for-electoral-decision.html

Robert Kocharyan Calls for Legally Enforceable Peace Guarantees, Criticizes Re

Caucasus Watch, Germany
Mar 16 2026
16 Mar 2026 | News, Politics, Armenia, Nagorno-Karabakh

On March 14, Robert Kocharyan, the second President of Armenia, stated in a podcast that a peace agreement without guarantees cannot ensure lasting stability, emphasizing that “peace cannot depend on the goodwill of one person.” He noted that earlier discussions on a peace declaration lacked legal grounding and failed to include mechanisms such as international guarantees or guarantor states.

Kocharyan stressed that durable peace requires enforceable guarantees, pointing to international examples. Referring to the Israeli-Palestinian process, he stated that despite initial optimism following the Oslo Accords, the absence of concrete guarantees led to renewed violence. He also cited Cyprus, where despite the absence of a formal peace treaty since 1974, a system of guarantees has helped maintain stability. “We want both a peace treaty and guarantees,” he emphasized.

He argued that Armenia previously acted as a guarantor alongside Russia but later abandoned this role, which, in his view, contributed to the collapse of the existing security framework. He stated that Russia had served both as a mediator and a guarantor after the war, but the structure weakened when Armenia withdrew from that format. According to Kocharyan, the absence of binding guarantees leaves future developments dependent on changing political circumstances and individual decisions.

Kocharyan rejected accusations that he opposes peace, stating that guarantees would constrain both Armenia and Azerbaijan and contribute to long-term stability. He questioned why such guarantees are not being actively pursued, noting that no concrete steps have been taken to involve international actors. He expressed the view that sustainable peace should not be tied to any individual leader, including Nikol Pashinyan or Ilham Aliyev.

He stated that if a comprehensive peace agreement with guarantees were achieved, it would reduce the political significance of individual leaders in maintaining stability. According to Kocharyan, “we need a lasting peace that doesn’t depend on political calculations,” emphasizing that both sides would benefit from a system capable of preventing renewed conflict and limiting potential revanchist tendencies.

Kocharyan also referred to past negotiations, including discussions in Key West, where a bilateral agreement was expected to be supported by international guarantees from the OSCE Minsk Group co-chairs—the United States, France, and Russia. He emphasized that most conflicts occur between neighboring states, making external guarantees essential for ensuring long-term reliability.

He stated that both the US and Russia could potentially act as guarantors, noting that the conflict is not existential for either power and could allow for cooperation. However, he argued that the current Armenian leadership has not made efforts to engage such mechanisms, describing the existing approach as focused on short-term political objectives rather than long-term stability.

Kocharyan further stated that the absence of guaranteed peace creates ongoing risks, emphasizing that a “dignified peace” should eliminate the need for continuous concessions and uncertainty. He warned that without firm guarantees, peace would remain fragile and dependent on shifting political dynamics.

He also addressed Armenia’s economic situation, stating that recent improvements are linked to external factors following the Russia-Ukraine war rather than structural strength. He emphasized that the current economic model remains vulnerable and warned of potential challenges if geopolitical conditions change. According to Kocharyan, Armenia’s economy requires stronger industrial development and a clearer alignment between foreign policy and economic priorities.

Kocharyan noted that Armenia’s economic ties are heavily connected to Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union, arguing that a shift toward the European Union without corresponding economic integration could create risks. He emphasized that foreign policy decisions should reflect economic realities, adding that Russia’s contribution to Armenia’s economy is often underestimated.


SYRIA: Armenian educator killed in Holeb (Aleppo) home invasion, shocking loca

Mar 16 2026

HOLEB, Syria — The funeral of Armenian educator Maral Kheshfejian took place on Sunday after she was killed in her home in the city of Holeb (Aleppo), Syria, on Saturday night.

According to local reports, intruders suspected to be thieves forced their way into her residence, stabbed her multiple times, looted her property, and fled the scene.

Residents stated that Kheshfejian’s home, located in the city center, appeared to have been targeted during a burglary attempt. Investigators believe the attackers broke into the residence with the intention of stealing valuables.

The crime has sparked widespread shock among residents of Holeb, as the victim was well known in the area for her good reputation. She worked in the education sector and had previously served as the principal of a local school, earning respect for her role in teaching and guiding generations of students.

The incident comes amid broader concerns over security affecting Christian communities across various Syrian provinces, where many cases of violence and theft remain unresolved. Christians in Syria have endured numerous violations during the years of conflict, including killings, abductions, robberies, displacement, church bombings, and the desecration of religious sites.

Read Also: Middle Eastern Christians ‘fading away in silence,’ SOS Chrétiens d’Orient warns

In a separate incident, Dr. Salwa Saloum was recently the victim of an armed robbery when a Range Rover carrying two men stopped in front of her clinic. One of the assailants reportedly pointed a gun at her head and threatened her while the other stole approximately 17 million Syrian Pounds from inside the clinic before fleeing the scene.

The Wadi al-Masihiyeen (Valley of Christians) was also shaken last October when masked gunmen attacked a group of Christian youths, resulting in the deaths of Wissam George Mansour and his cousin Shafiq Rafiq Mansour, while several others were injured.

These incidents have heightened tensions within the Christian community, whose sense of security has been increasingly unsettled due to the lack of safety, stability, and basic living conditions in many parts of the country, including areas with significant Christian populations.

Armenia’s Military Procurement from India and Article 36 of the Additional Pr

Lieber Institute, West Point
Mar 16 2026

by Davit Khachatryan | Mar 16, 2026

Armenia is rearming. Following the catastrophic losses of the 2020 Nagorno-Karabakh War and the complete collapse of Russian reliability as a security guarantor, Yerevan has undertaken one of the most consequential military modernization programs in its post-independence history. The centerpiece of that effort is a procurement relationship with India, covering Pinaka 214mm multiple-launch rocket systems, Akash-1S surface-to-air missiles (with the next-generation Akash-NG on order), ATAGS 155mm towed howitzers, ZADS counter-drone systems, Swathi counter-battery radars, and Konkurs anti-tank missiles. By 2022-2024, India had become the source of 43 percent of Armenia’s total weapons imports. Armenia is now India’s largest single arms export customer by value.

Has Armenia complied with its obligation, under Article 36 of Additional Protocol I (AP I), to review these weapons before acquiring them? That question exposes an underappreciated doctrinal problem about who bears the Article 36 obligation when weapons cross borders: the manufacturer, the buyer, or both, and under what conditions. It also requires examining whether the weapons Armenia has acquired are “new” within the meaning of the provision, a question with a less obvious answer than it might seem. And most structurally, Armenia’s situation is paradigmatic of a large class of AP I States Parties for whom Article 36 exists in theory but has never been operationalized in practice.

The Obligation

Article 36 of AP I, to which Armenia has been a party since 2007, provides:

In the study, development, acquisition or adoption of a new weapon, means or method of warfare, a High Contracting Party is under an obligation to determine whether its employment would, in some or all circumstances, be prohibited by this Protocol or by any other rule of international law applicable to the High Contracting Party.

The text is notably broad. It does not confine the obligation to weapons developed by the State Party itself. It reaches any “acquisition,” the operative term for Armenia’s situation as a buyer rather than a developer. An International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) commentary confirms that “acquisition” was deliberately included to capture exactly this scenario: a State that procures from abroad must conduct its own legal review before or upon incorporation of the weapon into its arsenal (para. 1469). The obligation is independent, non-transferable, and does not evaporate because another State may have conducted its own legal assessment before export approval.

Article 36 addresses only High Contracting Parties and their own weapons decisions. This creates a threshold question: does India bear an Article 36 obligation in respect of its exports to Armenia, does Armenia bear it in respect of its acquisitions, or do both? Both bear independent obligations, but with different content, and the distinction matters.

The legal question Article 36 poses is always relational: not whether this weapon is lawful in the abstract, but whether this State’s employment of it would be. The drafting history of Article 36 indicates that it was crafted with arms-producing States in mind. In that context, review integrates naturally into the procurement cycle: legal assessment accompanies development, and the same entity that makes the weapon decides whether it is lawful. The contemporary arms trade is dominated by a division between States that develop and sell on the one hand, and States that buy and use, on the other. For purchasing States, which constitute the large majority of AP I’s 174 States Parties, Article 36 asks for something their procurement architecture was never designed to provide.

The applicable rules bind Armenia, including its treaty commitments, its customary obligations, its rules of engagement, and the factual circumstances of its likely use. An Indian review, conducted against Indian doctrine, Indian treaty exposure, and Indian operational parameters, addresses none of this. The two obligations share a common framework, the substantive rules of international humanitarian law (IHL), but their content diverges at the point that matters most.

There is a further dimension. India is not a party to AP I. Its obligations arise, if at all, from customary international law, and the customary status of Article 36 remains contested (skeptical: here, p. 94; here, p. 285; contrary view, p. 342-43). Armenia, by contrast, is unambiguously bound by AP I as a treaty party. Armenia’s obligation is therefore more secure legally than India’s, not less.

While no formal Article 36 review mechanism has ever been publicly documented in Armenia, this is not unusual. ICRC guidance on Article 36 implementation identified fewer than twenty States worldwide that had established formal review procedures; they were predominantly NATO members and a handful of other active arms-producing nations.

This structural gap does not dissolve the obligation. But it does explain why the obligation goes systematically unmet. The ICRC has long recognized this and offered technical assistance to States seeking to develop Article 36 review procedures. A 2006 ICRC Guide, updated in 2016, provides a workable template that is not contingent on having a domestic arms industry: an interagency body drawing on the Ministry of Defense legal directorate, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs, and external expert input. Several small States with no arms production have adopted variants of this model. Armenia has not.

There is also a role for supplier States, though it does not substitute for the buyer’s independent obligation. India could, as a matter of export policy, require recipient States to document Article 36 compliance as a condition of sale, or provide its own review documentation to facilitate the buyer’s assessment. Whether India does so is not publicly known. The SIPRI Arms Transfers Database records the flow of weapons but not the legal reviews, or their absence, that accompany them. The international community tracks what weapons go where with considerable precision, while remaining entirely blind to whether the legal obligations governing those weapons’ acquisition are being met.

Are These New Weapons?

Article 36 does not define “new weapon.” If read relationally, the term encompasses any weapon newly entering a State’s arsenal, regardless of how long other States have fielded it. In that sense, Armenia’s acquisition of the Pinaka system is an acquisition of a new weapon, regardless of India’s decades of operational experience with it. This interpretation aligns naturally with the text, “acquisition” is used without qualification, and with the purpose of Article 36, which is to ensure that every State Party takes responsibility for the weapons it employs, not merely those it invents.

If read as requiring novelty, as State practice has tended to suggest by concentrating review resources on technologically novel systems, the obligation is triggered only where genuinely novel legal questions arise that existing IHL does not clearly resolve. On this reading, a 155mm howitzer acquired today does not trigger Article 36 because artillery has been governed by settled IHL principles and rules for over a century. Yet this approach creates a serious accountability gap: “conventional” weapon types can raise entirely unconventional legal questions when combined with new delivery platforms, new targeting technologies, or new operational doctrines specific to the acquiring State’s context. The Article 36 review is precisely the mechanism for catching those combinations.

For instance, Akash-NG is India’s next-generation surface-to-air missile system, currently in development. Armenia is among the first prospective foreign operators of a platform whose full capabilities and effects have not yet been publicly established.

What a Sufficient Review Would Require

Article 36 does not prescribe a procedural template, but the substantive questions a legally adequate review must address are not difficult to identify. Article 36 requires, at a minimum, a genuine legal assessment, conducted in good faith by a competent authority, examining the weapon against the applicable rules of IHL and any other relevant rules of international law in the context of the acquiring State’s anticipated employment. This is a due diligence standard. The State must turn its mind to the question, bring appropriate legal expertise to bear, and reach a reasoned determination. Acquiring weapons without legal assessment, or treating the question as answered by default, falls short regardless of whether the weapons turn out to be lawful.

Applied to Armenia, the answers are less comfortable. The most straightforward questions concern superfluous injury and unnecessary suffering under Article 35(2). None of the systems Armenia has acquired appears designed to cause effects exceeding military necessity, but that conclusion must be reached through documented legal assessment, not merely assumed. Harder questions arise under the principles of distinction and the prohibition on indiscriminate weapons. The Pinaka raises a related but distinct set of questions. Area-effect weapons are not inherently unlawful, but their use in circumstances where distinction cannot be exercised is prohibited, and review should establish what operational constraints that entails for Armenia’s specific geographic and tactical context, a question that becomes more acute the closer one looks at Armenia’s border terrain.

Treaty exposure shapes the legal framework within which these questions are answered. Armenia is neither a party to the Convention on the Prohibition of the Use, Stockpiling, Production and Transfer of Anti-Personnel Mines and on their Destruction, nor to the Convention on Cluster Munitions. India is likewise outside both instruments. That non-party status means Armenia is not prohibited from acquiring systems that incorporate submunition technology. But it does not mean those systems escape legal scrutiny; it means the scrutiny runs through AP I. Whatever munitions Armenia acquires and however it employs them, the obligations of distinction (arts. 48, 51(4)(b)), proportionality (art. 51(5)(b)), precautions in attack (art. 57), and the prohibition on indiscriminate weapons (art. 51(4)) apply in full. Article 36 is precisely the mechanism that links this procedural obligation to that substantive one: the review must determine whether the weapon, as Armenia intends to use it, would comply with those rules. The absence of a treaty prohibition on acquisition makes the Article 36 review more important, not less.

All of this analysis, however, must ultimately be conducted not in the abstract but against the specific circumstances of Armenia’s anticipated employment, including the theaters of likely conflict, adversary countermeasures, terrain, and applicable rules of engagement. This is the deepest reason why a review by the purchasing State cannot be outsourced to the seller. India’s review, if any, was conducted against different strategic and operational parameters. Armenia’s review must answer Armenia’s question. No one else can.

Concluding Thoughts

Armenia’s obligations under Article 36 were triggered when it entered into its first Indian defense contract. The absence of any publicly documented review process is not a minor procedural deficiency. It is a gap in the State’s compliance with a treaty obligation that goes to the heart of how wars are fought and, in Armenia’s case, may soon need to be fought again.

The buyer-State problem is a systemic feature of the Article 36 regime, and Armenia is a notable instance. But that systemic framing should not obscure the individual legal responsibility at stake. Article 36 does not ask whether a State has the institutional infrastructure to conduct a review. It asks whether the State has determined that its weapons are lawful. The obligation existed before the infrastructure did, and it continues in its absence.

A State that has recently experienced the consequences of operating under-equipped and under-prepared, legally as much as militarily, has particular reason to take seriously an obligation designed to ensure that its new weapons are not only effective, but lawful. The capacity to do so exists. The legal expertise is present. What is missing is the institutional decision to treat Article 36 not as an abstract treaty commitment, but as a practical requirement of responsible rearmament.

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Davit Khachatryan is an international law expert and researcher with a focus on operational law, international criminal law, alternative dispute resolution, and the intersection of various legal disciplines.

The views expressed are those of the author, and do not necessarily reflect the official position of the United States Military Academy, Department of the Army, or Department of Defense.

Articles of War is a forum for professionals to share opinions and cultivate ideas. Articles of War does not screen articles to fit a particular editorial agenda, nor endorse or advocate material that is published. Authorship does not indicate affiliation with Articles of War, the Lieber Institute, or the United States Military Academy West Point.

 https://lieber.westpoint.edu/armenias-military-procurement-india-article-36-additional-protocol-i/